None of the state chambers targeted by Democrats flipped in 2020. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Half of the seats of the Texas Senate and all of the seats of the Texas House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Members of the senate serve either four-year terms, while members of the house serve two-year terms. One third of the seats of the Illinois Senate and all of the seats of the Illinois House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Half of the seats of the Florida Senate and all of the seats of the Florida House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Republicans held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Note: Seat Share Gap indicates the difference between the percentage of the votes that Democratic legislative candidates received in the chamber and the percentage of seats the Democrats won in the chamber. Democrats’ state legislative committee broke fundraising records this year and hoped that 2020 would bring a political realignment back in their favor. As of August 1, 2020, the following information is correct: Republicans retained control of both chambers. Half of the seats of the Colorado Senate and all of the seats of the Colorado House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Gubernatorial and legislative elections are conducted on a nonpartisan basis in American Samoa. [11] The Alaska House of Representatives is currently the only state legislative chamber controlled by a cross-partisan coalition. Given this year’s state legislative chamber performance: 2020 Election State Legislature Chamber Seat Share Gap. As of 11/13/20 for GA, MI, TX, PA House. Another explanation for the results may be an enthusiasm or awareness gap between voters for the top and bottom of the ticket. Bottom line: results are mixed. For consistency, the historic charts show the party control as of January in each year. As in any complex system, many factors likely contributed to these results. Democrats banked heavily on an effort to win seats in state legislative chambers in 2020, only to be thoroughly rebuked by the GOP. If this is true, we would expect Democrats running for state legislative seats to have, at the chamber level, received more votes than Republicans, but won fewer seats. For instance, we often use Wisconsin in 2018 as an example of this “seat share gap:” Democrats running for state assembly received 54% of the votes, but only won 36% of the seats (18% seat share gap). This table shows the partisan control of governor's offices and state legislative chambers in each state. Evidence of Ticket-Splitting and Roll-Off. Gerrymandering can at least partly account for a failure to tie up the Michigan House. An analysis of the “why” would need to address issues like the resonance of Democratic messaging, the impact of the pandemic on Democratic field programs, the impact of misinformation, voter suppression tactics, and other factors. Because the Kentucky legislature can override gubernatorial vetoes with a simple majority vote, Republicans have a veto-proof majority in the state legislature.[12]. Half of the seats of the Washington State Senate and all of the seats of the Washington House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Across the fifty states, approximately 65 percent of all upper house seats and 85 percent of all lower house seats were up for election. We have a chance this November to wrest control of several state legislatures back from the Republicans. It could be ballot roll-off and/or ticket-splitting. Half of the seats of the Montana Senate and all of the seats of the Montana House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. In 2020, state legislatures will influence redistricting for the entire decade to come. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Voting behavior and electoral outcomes are multivariate, and the results we see have numerous causes. Red cells indicate candidates who received at least 200,000 fewer votes than their party’s Presidential candidate OR chambers where a party received at least 400,000 fewer votes than their party’s Presidential candidate. Republicans maintained control of the senate, while Democrats maintained control of the house of representatives. In most chambers, we should have picked up more seats than we did, particularly in NC (both chambers), WI Assembly, GA House, and PA Senate. Half of the seats of the Arkansas Senate and all of the seats of the Arkansas House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. For transparency, we are linking to our dataset, which we constructed based upon publicly-available voting information. Republicans have a government trifecta with control of the governorship and both state legislative chambers. Republicans retained control of both chambers. For instance, Dems running for the Texas House received 733,000 less votes than Biden. All of the seats of the Connecticut State Senate and the Connecticut House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Half of the seats of the Oregon State Senate and all of the seats of the Oregon House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Democrats will be focused on keeping the GOP below 30 seats in the state Senate and 72 seats in the state House, to avoid a Republican supermajority that could thwart Democratic Gov. Toggle navigation The State of Wyoming Legislature. In many states, this process is controlled by the state legislature, subject to gubernatorial veto.When one party controls the process, this can lead to gerrymandering, where district lines are set to maximize that party’s control in Congress. Here are 23 former state legislative … And this is crucially important this year, because 2020 is a census year. A portion of the seats of the Northern Mariana Islands Senate, and all of the seats of the Northern Mariana Islands House of Representatives, are up for election. Half of the seats of the Alaska Senate and all of the seats of the Alaska House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Washington, D.C., does not elect a governor or state legislature, but it does elect a, Although elections for governor of American Samoa are non-partisan, Governor. **We were unable to find vote totals for uncontested candidates in Wisconsin, so totals only reflect contested races. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Go! The 2020 United States state legislative elections were held on November 3, 2020 for 86 state legislative chambers in 44 states. | Privacy Statement | Release of Liability Statement | Code of Conduct
Republicans held control of both chambers, and also gained a government trifecta by winning the 2020 Montana gubernatorial election. Democrats retained control of both chambers. Half of the seats of the Hawaii Senate and all of the seats of the Hawaii House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Republicans held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Many legislative chambers held elections for all seats, but some legislative chambers that use staggered elections held elections for only a portion of the total seats in the chamber. This means that many Biden voters chose not to vote downballot. Democrats’ failure to win more seats is clearly in large part because of gerrymandering. All members of the legislature serve a two-year term. All of the seats of the South Carolina Senate and the South Carolina House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Roy Cooper. Without giving much consideration to the practical problems of implementing VBM on such a massive scale, the states saw it as a necessary step to take as a public health matter. One chamber (Alaska House) was sharing power between two parties. In 2020, 2,162, or 29.3% the 7,383 state legislators in the United States are women. A key factor at stake this year: The 2020 election cycle will be the last one before the state-by-state lineups are set in advance of post-2020 Census redistricting. The elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, including the presidential election, [9], Writing for Sabato's Crystal Ball, Chaz Nuttycombe highlighted the Alaska House and the New Hampshire Senate as the top pick-up opportunities for Republicans, and lists the Arizona House, the Arizona Senate, the Iowa House, the Michigan House, the Minnesota Senate, the North Carolina House, the North Carolina Senate, the Pennsylvania House, and the Texas House as the top pick-up opportunities for Democrats.[10]. None of the state chambers targeted by Democrats flipped in 2020. Prior to the 2020 elections, Republicans control approximately 60 percent of the state legislative chambers and 52 percent of the state legislative seats in the United States. Some confluence of these and other factors resulted in Democrats not flipping legislative chambers and not picking up as many seats as they should have in numerous chambers across the country. Democrats retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Half of the seats of the Indiana Senate and all of the seats of the Indiana House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. The exception is Wisconsin, where we cannot locate vote totals in uncontested races, so our analysis includes contested races only.]. Today, let’s take a glance at what we know about the status of partisan balance in the state legislatures. Democrats spent big to take control of state legislatures but lost ... maps by ensuring Democrats remain the minority party in key state legislatures. Republicans held control of both chambers. ***As of 11/12/20 for AZ, FL, MN, NC, PA Senate, WI. All of the seats of the unicameral Legislature of Guam are up for election. Democrats retained control of both chambers. Half of the seats of the Nevada Senate and all of the seats of the Nevada Assembly were up for election in 2020. Let’s take a look at three possible groups of explanations that may have contributed to state legislative outcomes: gerrymandering, roll-off/ticket-splitting, and enthusiasm/awareness gap. The legislature meets at the Wyoming State Capitol in Cheyenne. Republicans held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. All of the seats of the Minnesota Senate and the Minnesota House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. That means that whoever is in charge of state legislatures following the November election will be drawing the district maps that will be in place… If it’s not just gerrymandering, then what else could explain the results? Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta.
Republicans held a majority in 59 chambers, and Democrats held the majority in 39 chambers. Current and historic party control of state legislatures and government can be accessed below. Pollsters predicted that many as seven state legislative chambers would flip to the liberals, but it seems as if they were off by seven. Red boxes are where downballot candidates received at least 400,000 votes less than their party’s presidential candidate. All of the seats of the American Samoa Senate and the American Samoa House of Representatives are up for election. Territorial and federal district summaries. This gap can also be expressed as a lack of coattails for downballot candidates from upballot candidates with higher profile races. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. All of the seats of the North Carolina Senate and the North Carolina House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. All of the seats of the South Dakota Senate and the South Dakota House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. All of the seats of the Senate of Puerto Rico and the House of Representatives of Puerto Rico are up for election in 2020. In the table above, green boxes provide evidence of ticket-splitting and red boxes provide evidence of roll-off. Members of the senate and the house both serve four-year terms. Because we do not yet have presidential vote totals by state legislative race, we had to exclude chambers we worked in with more than 1 uncontested race. This left us with the completely contested chambers of the Minnesota Senate and the North Carolina Senate. The GOP flipped both legislative chambers in New Hampshire and the state House in Alaska while Democrats failed to regain control of a single state legislative body anywhere in the country. All of the seats of the Michigan House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. As of November 30, 2020, Republicans controlled 52.39% of all state legislative seats nationally, while Democrats held 46.58%. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. The state will be using new legislative maps that are a bit more favorable to Democrats than the previous GOP-drawn map, but Republicans will start with the edge to keep control after 2020. Half of the seats of the Utah State Senate and all of the seats of the Utah House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Republicans held a trifecta in 20 states, Democrats held a trifecta in 15 states, and 14 states had a divided government. Otherwise, overall control of the state is marked as being divided. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Louis Jacobson of The Cook Political Report predicted that Republican-held chambers that could potentially flip to Democratic control included both chambers in Arizona, the Florida Senate, both chambers in Georgia, the Iowa House, the Michigan House, the Minnesota Senate, both chambers in North Carolina, both chambers in Pennsylvania, and the Texas House. This means that some voters who voted for Republicans at another level of the ballot also voted for Cooper. This analysis aims to describe what happened, but not why the outcomes occurred. Current Composition. The Michigan Senate did not hold regularly-scheduled elections in 2020. [2][3][4][5] Following the election, Republicans have control of redistricting in 20 state governments, totalling 188 House districts, whereas Democrats have control in states with a total of 73 districts. In the case of this analysis, all non-presidential candidates are considered downballot candidates compared to presidential candidates. After the 2020 Census, redistricting will occur, with congressional districts redrawn for the 2022 through 2030 elections. ... October 2020 CREG Forecast October 2020 CREG Forecast. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. 2020 Alaska House of Representatives election, 2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 2020 Arkansas House of Representatives election, 2020 Colorado House of Representatives election, 2020 Florida House of Representatives election, 2020 Georgia House of Representatives election, 2020 Hawaii House of Representatives election, 2020 Idaho House of Representatives election, 2020 Illinois House of Representatives election, 2020 Iowa House of Representatives election, 2020 Kentucky House of Representatives election, 2020 Maine House of Representatives election, 2020 Massachusetts House of Representatives election, 2020 Michigan House of Representatives election, 2020 Minnesota House of Representatives election, 2020 Montana House of Representatives election, 2020 New Hampshire House of Representatives election, 2020 New Mexico House of Representatives election, 2020 North Carolina House of Representatives election, 2020 Ohio House of Representatives election, 2020 Oregon House of Representatives election, 2020 Pennsylvania House of Representatives election, 2020 Rhode Island House of Representatives election, 2020 South Carolina State Senate election, 2020 South Carolina House of Representatives election, 2020 Texas House of Representatives election, 2020 Utah House of Representatives election, 2020 Washington House of Representatives election, 2020 West Virginia House of Delegates election, 2020 Wyoming House of Representatives election, Elections in the Northern Mariana Islands, Northern Mariana Islands House of Representatives, Elections in the United States Virgin Islands, 2020 United States House of Representatives elections, 2020 United States gubernatorial elections, "The coronavirus crisis is drastically changing the battle for state legislatures and could completely reshape who controls Congress", "Democrats fail to make gains in state legislative races in advance of 2021 redistricting", "The Failure That Could Haunt Democrats for a Decade", "Democrats blame increased Trump turnout, uphill races for failure to win state legislative seats", "How Democrats Suffered Crushing Down-Ballot Losses Across America", "Democrats gear up to fight gerrymandering after state House losses", "2020 Legislative Races by State and Legislative Chamber", "July Update: Handicapping the 2020 State Legislature Races", "The State of the States: The Legislatures", "Alaska House elects a Speaker after more than a month of gridlock", "Kentucky Legislature Returns Tuesday To Consider Overriding Beshear Vetoes", "Democrats are dominating state-level races", "Population, Population Change, and Estimated Components of Population Change: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2019 (NST-EST2019-alldata)", "2020 State & Legislative Partisan Composition", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2020_United_States_state_legislative_elections&oldid=994815327, 2020 state legislature elections in the United States, November 2020 events in the United States, Short description is different from Wikidata, Wikipedia articles in need of updating from November 2020, All Wikipedia articles in need of updating, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 17 December 2020, at 18:01. But generally speaking, Democrats running for state legislative seats did not get enough votes to have flipped chambers even if the maps had been more fair. The Wyoming State Legislature is the legislative branch of the U.S. State of Wyoming. Half of the seats of the Tennessee Senate and all of the seats of the Tennessee House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. However, despite fundraising efforts and projections of several Republican-held chambers in competitive states flipping, the Democrats failed to flip any state chambers, which they attributed to gerrymandering in the wake of the 2010 elections, as well as state laws restricting voting, President Donald Trump being on the ballot, and the Democrats' campaigning methods. The Council of the District of Columbia serves as the legislative branch of the federal district of Washington, D.C. Half of the council seats are up for election in 2020. The Michigan House was also included since only one seat was uncontested. All of the seats of the Rhode Island Senate and the Rhode Island House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. This may affect findings (i.e., the other 25 seats could lean more Democratic). Since 1971, the number of women serving in state legislatures has more than quintupled. Half of the seats of the Ohio Senate and all of the seats of the Ohio House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Your donations have the greatest effect when they are directed at close races where swinging a few votes might have a major effect on the political landscape. Nationwide, Republicans controlled approximately 60 percent of the legislative chambers and 52 percent of the legislative seats. Half of the seats of the West Virginia Senate and all of the seats of the West Virginia House of Delegates were up for election in 2020. Half of the seats of the Oklahoma Senate and all of the seats of the Oklahoma House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. All of the seats of the New Mexico Senate and the New Mexico House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. [1] Nationwide, approximately 40 percent of the population of the United States (including federal districts and territories) live in states with Republican control of the state government, 37 percent live in states with Democratic control, and 22 percent live in states with divided government.[c]. Glance at what we know about the status of partisan balance in the table,! New Mexico House of Representatives were up for election in 2020 account for a failure to tie up Michigan... Massachusetts House of Representatives are up for election in 2020: 2020 election state chamber! And both state legislative chambers and 52 percent of the 99 state legislative chamber performance: election... 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